Is backgammon a game of skill or luck? Backgammon is a game where both luck and skill play a significant role. Rolling the dice randomly determines the outcome of each move, but professional players can increase their chances of winning throughout the game by following the rules, using the doubling cube correctly, hitting checkers at the right time, and anticipating their opponent’s moves. Because of this, we can ask: is backgammon pure luck? The answer is no. It is neither pure luck nor entirely skill; rather, skill and strategy can overcome luck over time. If you want to know how much of backgammon is luck and whether it is truly luck-based, stay with Nardestan until the end of this article.
Is Backgammon Mostly Luck or Skill?

This ancient game has fascinated players for centuries. Whether you are playing on a beautifully crafted wooden board or just hanging out with friends, the question always arises: is backgammon more luck or skill? Backgammon is a classic game that features a perfect combination of both.
On one hand, luck plays a major role because dice outcomes are completely random, and a player’s moves heavily depend on them. Even the best players cannot control the dice rolls, so in the short term, luck can absolutely determine a win or a loss. In our article, “How to Always Win at Backgammon?”, we have shared more tips on how to overcome luck and increase your chances of success.
On the other hand, the player’s skill and strategy play a pivotal role. By analyzing different positions, predicting the opponent’s moves, managing dice rolls, and planning ahead, a professional player can significantly increase their win probability. In long matches and professional tournaments, when looking at backgammon skill vs luck, skill usually dominates. Experienced players know how to make the most out of the situations the dice create and make better decisions. A prime example of skill overcoming luck is the legendary player Masayuki Mochizuki, who proved for years that making the right decisions is more important than getting good dice. If you want to learn more about him and his playstyle, don’t miss our article: “Biography of Masayuki Mochizuki”.
What is the Importance of Skill in Backgammon?

There is more to backgammon than just throwing dice. Each roll might be random, but a skilled player knows how to utilize their strategy and expertise to make the most out of even the worst rolls, minimizing the factor of luck. At the professional level, skill always outweighs luck. In world championships, almost all champions have proven that in long-format matches, skill always triumphs. To familiarize yourself with one of the most famous examples of this, you can read our article: “Who is the World Backgammon Champion? Biography of Dirk Schiemann”.
Here are a few important strategies that professional players use:
- Fully understand the rules of the variation you are playing: For instance, some rules and strategies differ between modern and traditional backgammon.
- Proper use of the Doubling Cube: While the doubling cube is not usually used in traditional Iranian backgammon, it holds immense importance in modern backgammon.
- The rules of hitting checkers.
- The rules of rolling double sixes.
- Dice rolling strategies.
If you still need to learn more about the game, we highly recommend checking out our articles: “Backgammon Tutorial for Beginners” and “Advanced Backgammon Training”.
Interestingly, the debate over whether backgammon is luck or strategy is not just popular in Iran; foreign players and enthusiasts have this exact same discussion. If you are curious to see how backgammon is played in other countries, we suggest reading: “Backgammon in English: Do Foreigners Play Backgammon?”.
Note: Since the quality of the board and checkers can impact your gaming experience and even your decision-making accuracy, choosing the right backgammon set is crucial. If you are planning to buy one and don’t know which model suits your playstyle, our “Backgammon Buying Guide + Price List” can help you make the best choice.
How to Increase Your Chances of Winning at Backgammon?

To increase your chances of winning, simply having good dice or watching tournaments is not enough. More importantly, you need continuous practice and time dedicated to learning the fundamentals of the game. The deeper your understanding of board positions, standard moves, and risk management, the less impact luck will have, and your probability of winning will rise.
If you are a beginner, reading our “Simple Backgammon Tutorial for Beginners” can help build a solid foundation. If you are looking for real progress and consistent wins, checking out our “Free Advanced Backgammon Training” will help you make more precise decisions and get closer to the playstyle of professionals.
Scientific Research on Backgammon | The Combination of Skill and Luck

Scientific research shows that backgammon is a blend of luck and skill. Every dice roll affects the short-term outcome of the game, but skilled players can increase their chances in the long run through strategy, risk management, and anticipating their opponent’s moves. Even when the dice are against them, the right decisions can mitigate the effects of bad luck.
Since a crucial part of game management involves understanding how to roll the dice and utilizing the results, it is best to learn the proper rolling techniques. Reading our article “How to Roll Dice in Backgammon: Tips and Tricks” can be a great help. Ultimately, backgammon is neither purely a game of chance nor purely a game of skill; rather, it is a game where skill can overcome luck over time. Share your thoughts with us in the comments!
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Is backgammon all luck, or is it a combination of luck and skill?
Backgammon is a combination of both luck and skill.
What is the role of the dice in backgammon?
The dice determine the short-term outcomes of the game.
How does a player’s skill affect the outcome of the game?
A player’s skill increases the probability of winning in the long term.
In long and professional matches, is backgammon more skill or luck?
In long games, skill becomes the dominating factor.
What is one important strategy used by professional backgammon players?
Properly utilizing the doubling cube and anticipating the opponent’s moves.






